By Joe Fernandez
ANALYSIS  The Sarawak United People’s Party (SUPP), in trouble with Chinese  voters in particular since 2006, is being told that the ruling Barisan  Nasional (BN) will be able to form the next state government even  without a single seat contribution from it. This is the message going  out to the party from Sarawak Chief Minister Taib Mahmud who has to call  state polls by the middle of next year.
Taib’s message is based on the fact that SUPP will be allocated as  usual only 19 of the 71 state seats at stake. The party lost eight seats  at the last outing in 2006. The Bumiputera-based Pesaka Bumiputera  Bersatu (PBB) will take the lion’s share at 35, Parti Rakyat Sarawak  (PRS) nine and Sarawak Progressive Democratic Party (SPDP) eight.
The politically naïve BN minus SUPP theory is somehow expected to  bring the party (SUPP) and Chinese voters, in Taib’s reckoning, to their  senses. The implication is that the Chinese would have no  representation in the state government, for the first time since  independence, if SUPP is rejected at the polls.
The fact that the Chinese are not in the least perturbed by such  arguments is being overlooked as not politically expedient. The Chinese,  and Taib, know that it’s only a matter of time before others follow in  their footsteps especially from among the better educated Bidayuh, Orang  Ulu and the Malays.
The repercussions will be there especially for the PBB which has a  vice-like grip on Sarawak. Already, even the Iban – plagued by low  literacy levels -- are being threatened by PBB leaders “not to even  think about deserting the ruling coalition”. It’s not surprising why no  one in PBB thinks of threatening voters from the other better educated  communities.
Chinese voters patently feel it’s pointless being represented in the  state government if it means nothing for them in the end and the state,  but only the ageing crop of self-serving leaders at the helm of SUPP and  PBB. The younger leaders in SUPP are also up in arms against the lack  of renewal, transition, change and reform within the party for many  decades.
SUPP had a chance to renew its membership and leadership several  times in the past to attract the younger Chinese in particular, but each  time refused to do so. The unpopular George Chan, whose daughter is  married to Taib’s son, continues to lead SUPP to its certain doom in an  “all in the family” scenario.
The Chinese have also seen that they are losing out enormously, with  Taib and his family, relatives and cronies having a finger in the  economic pie everywhere in the state.
Ali Baba syndrome
Although they concede that they have been noted since the inception  of the New Economic Policy (1970-1990) for the infamous Ali Baba  syndrome – the Malay Ali selling government projects to the Chinese Baba  for a quick commission – they worry that the corruption level in the  state has now breached the stratosphere.
The economy, they point out rightly, is no longer about Ali Babaism  which saw the Malay Ali getting anything between 5% and 15% commission  for securing government projects for the Chinese business community  (Baba). Instead, politicians in the ruling coalition are now awarding  themselves, through nominees, government procurements and projects –  under the guise of development – and selling them at twice, thrice or  even up to 10 times what the Chinese Baba gets without paying out the  usual 5% to 15% commission to the Malay Ali.
The Chinese see this  notorious “skim cepat kaya” (quick money scheme), fostered by PBB in  general and Taib in particular, as being infinitely worse than any Ali  Baba scam presided over in the past by SUPP.
The politically savvy and better educated urban Chinese voters know  that government money is theirs as well, in fact most of it, and they  are not going to allow the ruling coalition to continue to get away with  raiding the public treasury at will.
There are many other social and economic issues confronting the  Chinese community in Sarawak. However, the resolution of these issues  hinges on the community subscribing to an agenda for change and reform  in Sarawak after nearly half century of the same coalition in power. The  immediate beneficiary, as in Sabah and Peninsular Malaysia, is likely  to be Lim Kit Siang of the DAP. He has undoubtedly emerged as the  undisputed leader of the Chinese in Malaysia.
The bottomline is that BN’s long years in power, in particular  Taib’s, has seen the emergence of a political structure and system which  has allowed gross abuse of power and unfettered access to public money  to the detriment of the state. The Chinese feel that enough is enough as  evident from the continuing debate in cyberspace.
Unlike the Bumiputera, the Dayak in particular, the Chinese are on  their own in the urban areas of Sarawak and feel free from the  dependency syndrome hoisted on the rest of the electorate by BN’s long  years in power.
If anything, Taib’s subtle threats have made the Chinese in Sarawak  more defiant than ever and it will be anybody’s guess whether SUPP can  even retain its Bidayuh and other Dayak seats. The hope is that the  party will be able to retain Opar, Bengoh, Simanggang and Engkilili.  However, according to most analysts, both Opar and Bengoh are among the  Bidayuh seats where the party is vulnerable to a great extent.
Black or grey
The remaining 15 seats are considered either “black” or “grey” areas  as the Chinese make up the majority. Black areas are where the Chinese  form 70% or more and grey areas are those with higher non-Chinese  voters.
The eight seats considered black are Pending, Padungan, Batu Lintang, Kota Sentosa, Meradong, Bukit Assek, Kidurong and Repok.
The seven grey seats are Batu Kawa, Bawang Assan, Palawan, Dudong, Piasau, Senadin and Pujut.
If SUPP ends up winning only a couple of Dayak seats, that will be  the final nail in the coffin for the party to claim to represent not  only the Chinese but the Dayak as well. The other parties in the Sarawak  BN, that is, PRS and SPDP, besides PBB, will lay claim to SUPP’s Dayak  seats. The Chinese seats could be easily divided between PRS and SPDP  which are both ostensibly multiracial but Dayak-based, but it’s unlikely  that Taib will allow it.
SUPP Youth chief Sih Hua Tong sees a ray of hope if the party  identifies candidates which can win at least some seats for it to enjoy  continued representation in the state Cabinet and government.
So, the question of changing the leadership cannot be entertained  now, according to him, but at the triennial delegates conference which  should be held by the end of next year.
Members and leaders chaffing for change in the party and voters have heard such talk before.
 
 
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